Operations: Meghann Olshefski Mandy Morris Kelly Rindfleisch Democratic Rep. Cindy Axne survived 2020, despite Donald Trump carrying her Des Moines-based district. [49] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of June 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight.[50][51]. Nov. 6, 2022 Georgia's 2nd District Previous rating: Likely Democratic Democratic Rep. Sanford Bishop is still favored for reelection, but GOP Gov. Miles Coleman Posted November 7, 2022. As a result of the elections, Republicans gained a 222-213 majority.[1]. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. These results indicate that one should interpret the models predictions for Senate seat swing cautiously as relatively large errors are not uncommon. The "who will control the House of Representatives" market will pay out $100 for a $350 bet. Determination of the winners of House seats shall be based on state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results for each state; provided that, if a certification or other final official determination is challenged, PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast. -- Our projected gubernatorial picture is 29-21 Republican, or a net Republican gain Dear Readers: Crystal Ball editors Kyle Kondik and J. Elections to the U.S. House were held on November 8, 2022. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast. Incumbents filed to run in the newly created Florida's 28th and Texas' 27th Congressional Districts. As with the House, the margin of control in the next Senate is likely to be very narrow. As a result of the 2022 elections, Democrats won 30 of those seats, and Republicans won 38. The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. By Leke Baiyewu. Subscriptions are available for $4.95 a month or 34.95 a year that provide subscribers with exclusive access to more than 20 stories per week on upcoming elections, consumer confidence, and issues that affect us all. Democratic Rep. Abigail Spanberger is seeking a third term in a district President Joe Biden won by 6 points in 2020 but now-Gov. These battleground races were selected using the following criteria. The district runs from just . A map of how the 2022 U.S. House districts. Size of this PNG preview of this SVG file: 424 600 pixels. -- In the end, and with a lot of contradictory information, we thought the indicators pointed more toward the Republicans KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Our final Senate pick is 51-49 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 1 seat. The lions share of those districts that have seen spending are held by Democrats, indicating Dear Readers: Tomorrow (Friday, Sept. 23) from noon to 1:30 p.m., the Center for Politics will honor the service of U.S. Capitol Police Officers and D.C. Metropolitan Police Officers who defended the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021 with the presentation of the Centers first annual Defender of Democracy awards. KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- This article updates and applies the seats-in-trouble congressional election forecasting equations to the 2022 midterm elections. The Current House view on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. If you're looking to stake $100 at -350, you will make a $28.57 profit if the elephant prevails. Brian Kemp's strength at the top of the ticket. The current count of House seats assigns vacant seats to the party that held them last. The 2022 House of Representatives election will be held on Tuesday, November 8, 2022, and the seats for all 435 Congressional Districts of all 50 states (including US territories and the nation's capital, the District of Columbia) will be up for grabs. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. You can also view these ratings as a table. Dear Readers: Listeners to our Politics is Everything podcast are already familiar with Carah Ong Whaley, who joined the Center for Politics several months ago. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast. There were 35 U.S. House districts and one seat in the U.S. Senate in 2022 that were effectively guaranteed to one major party because no candidate from the other party appeared on the general election ballot, accounting for 8.0% of all U.S. House races and 2.9% of all U.S. Senate races. According to Politico, the PVI is designed to "provide a quick overall assessment of generic partisan strength in a congressional district. Alaska. [39] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of July 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight. [56][57], The following table displays candidates who have qualified for the Young Guns Vanguard program for the 2022 election cycle. [53][54], The following table displays candidates who qualified as Young Guns for the 2022 election cycle. Ballotpedia identified 33 of the 435 House races (8.5%) as battlegrounds. The tendency of the presidents party to lose seats in Congress in midterm elections is one of the best-known regularities in American politics. With ten days until the November 8 midterm elections, political forecasters and pollsters say Republicans appear to have a strong chance of retaking control of the House of Representatives.. Items are listed in reverse chronological order by date of change, with the most recent change appearing first. Miles Coleman, The House: GOP Hits 218 in Ratings as Battle Rages Across Big Playing Field, Recent Midterm History: More Complicated Than You Think, Following the Money: What Outside Spending Tells Us About the Race for the House, Lessons from the Past: What 1978 and 1982 Tell Us About 2022, The Seats-in-Trouble Forecasts of the 2022 Midterm Congressional Elections, Forecasting 2022 Using the Fundamentals: The Structural and Structure X Models. Given the expected impact of redistricting, however, Democrats probably need a larger lead to keep control of the House. This chart lists each district that the DCCC announced it would seek to defend via the Frontline program in 2022. See Other Commentary by Dr. Alan Abramowitz. Based on results from recent elections, I set the range of possible generic ballot results for next fall as +10 Democratic to -10 Democratic (or +10 Republican). The candidate of Labour Party, Thaddeus Attah, has been declared the winner of the Eti-Osa Federal Constituency seat in the House of Representatives. One additional factor that is not included in the House forecast is the impact of redistricting, which will take place this cycle based on the results of the 2020 census. For a list of seats that opened up as a result of an incumbent losing re-election in a primary, see the following section. Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin's battleground seat got slightly easier in redistricting, but the GOP thinks it can oust her with a national tailwind. 50. Six states were apportioned one U.S. House district, so no congressional redistricting was required. 2024 House Interactive Map 2024 Pundit Forecasts 2022 House Polls 2022 House Simulation View Your 2022 District 2022 House Retirements 2022 House Election Results. Premier Franois Legault and his Coalition Avenir Qubec are certain to win the next provincial election. The Supreme Court of Pennsylvania suspended the candidate filing period for the primary election, pending resolution of a redistricting dispute. In the Senate data, the point for 2002 is also well above the regression line while points for several other elections including 1962 and 1978 are also well above or below the line. Figure 1 displays a scatterplot of the relationship between the forecasts generated by the generic ballot model and the actual seat swing in House and Senate elections between 1946 and 2018. Click here for more information about apportionment after the 2020 census. Hover over or click a district to see the presidential vote counts. Analysis>. A few weeks ago, Crystal Ball Managing Editor Kyle Kondik wrote about the 1978 and 1982 midterms. This web site is a creation of Philippe J. Fournier, physics and astrophysics professor at Cgep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. United States House of Representatives elections, 2022 Elections to the U.S. House were held on November 8, 2022. The generic ballot model uses two predictors the generic ballot along with the number of seats defended by the presidents party to generate forecasts of seat swing in midterm elections. The most vulnerable GOP incumbent in the country might be Rep. Mike Garcia, whose district north of Los Angeles voted for President Joe Biden by 13 points. House results have ranged from a loss of 64 seats to a gain of eight seats while Senate results have ranged from a loss of 13 seats to a gain of four seats. TheInteractiveand2023views use redistricted lines,placing incumbents where applicable. Will it be a close race or, um, not? This was 540 votes more than the closest House race in 2020. We rated every race in play in 2022. Ellis' calculations included blank votes in this race. RCP Gov Map Race . In addition, as mentioned earlier, the margin of error for the Senate model is relatively large, leaving room for a range of possible outcomes from a GOP gain of two-to-three seats to a Democratic gain of four-to-five seats. We have several rating changes this week in House and gubernatorial races, and we also wanted to update our thinking on the Senate. The following table shows the number of U.S. House incumbents defeated in each election cycle from 2000 to 2022, by party. Gluesenkamp defeated Kent in the general election. The final2022 House ratings from Politico. A recent Quinnipiac poll gave Democrats a nine-point lead on the generic ballot. McLeod-Skinner's margin of victory over Schrader in the primary. Nightly polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Rasmussen Reports web site many times each day. Quebec Election 2022 Date: October 3rd, 2022. We default to the Deluxe . -- So far, outside groups have spent money in 57 House districts. There are 26 seats rated as Toss Up races where neither party has a significant advantage. Five were open because they were newly created districts where no incumbent filed to run. The Chairman, Committee on Media and Public Affairs, House of Representatives, Benjamin Kalu, has won the election for the seat of Bende Federal . [58] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of June 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight. Candidates running for office in open or Democratic-held House seats are eligible for the Young Guns program. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) reported the following fundraising amounts for the 2021-22 election cycle: !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var e in a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-"+e)||document.querySelector("iframe[src*='"+e+"']");if(t)(t.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][e]+"px")}}))}(); "[32] Those districts and incumbents are listed in the table below. U.S. House races in which more than one incumbent ran, non-voting delegate seats that were up for election in 2022, districts targeted by national campaign committees, newly created seats following the 2020 census, Fundraising figures for party campaign committees, important dates and deadlines for the 2022 election cycle, Click here for our Election Day coverage of the November 8, 2022, U.S. House election results, Delaware's At-Large Congressional District, Massachusetts' 1st Congressional District, Massachusetts' 2nd Congressional District, Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District, Massachusetts' 4th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 7th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District, New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District, New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District, North Carolina's 1st Congressional District, North Carolina's 10th Congressional District, North Carolina's 11th Congressional District, North Carolina's 12th Congressional District, North Carolina's 13th Congressional District, North Carolina's 14th Congressional District, North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District, North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, North Carolina's 4th Congressional District, North Carolina's 5th Congressional District, North Carolina's 6th Congressional District, North Carolina's 7th Congressional District, North Carolina's 8th Congressional District, North Carolina's 9th Congressional District, North Dakota's At-Large Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 14th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 17th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 6th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 9th Congressional District, Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District, Rhode Island's 2nd Congressional District, South Carolina's 1st Congressional District, South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District, South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, South Carolina's 5th Congressional District, South Carolina's 6th Congressional District, South Carolina's 7th Congressional District, South Dakota's At-Large Congressional District, Vermont's At-Large Congressional District, West Virginia's 1st Congressional District, West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District, Wyoming's At-Large Congressional District, United States congressional non-voting members, American Samoa's At-Large Congressional District, District of Columbia's At-Large Congressional District, Northern Mariana Islands At-Large Congressional District, United States Virgin Islands' At-Large Congressional District, Redistricting in Florida after the 2020 census, Redistricting in Georgia after the 2020 census, Redistricting in Illinois after the 2020 census, Redistricting in Michigan after the 2020 census, Redistricting in New York after the 2020 census, Redistricting in Texas after the 2020 census, Redistricting in West Virginia after the 2020 census, Congressional apportionment after the 2020 census, California's 22nd Congressional District election, 2022, California's 27th Congressional District election, 2022, Colorado's 8th Congressional District election, 2022, Illinois' 17th Congressional District election, 2022, Indiana's 1st Congressional District election, 2022, Iowa's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022, Kansas' 3rd Congressional District election, 2022, Maine's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022, Michigan's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022, Michigan's 7th Congressional District election, 2022, Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022, Nevada's 1st Congressional District election, 2022, Nevada's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022, New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District election, 2022, New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022, New Jersey's 7th Congressional District election, 2022, New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022, New York's 19th Congressional District election, 2022, New York's 22nd Congressional District election, 2022, New York's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022, North Carolina's 13th Congressional District election, 2022, Ohio's 13th Congressional District election, 2022, Ohio's 1st Congressional District election, 2022, Ohio's 9th Congressional District election, 2022, Oregon's 5th Congressional District election, 2022, Pennsylvania's 17th Congressional District election, 2022, Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District election, 2022, Rhode Island's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022, Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2022, Texas' 28th Congressional District election, 2022, United States House of Representatives election in Alaska, 2022, Virginia's 7th Congressional District election, 2022, Washington's 8th Congressional District election, 2022, Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, National Republican Congressional Committee, State legislative and congressional redistricting after the 2020 census, Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022, Ballotpedia's Candidate Filing Analysis Hub, 2022, Georgia's 7th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary), Illinois' 17th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary), Illinois' 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary), Illinois' 6th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary), Illinois' 7th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary), Illinois' 8th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary), Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), Michigan's 11th Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Democratic primary), Michigan's 12th Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Democratic primary), Minnesota's 1st Congressional District special election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary), Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 (May 10 Democratic primary), Nevada's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Democratic primary), New York's 10th Congressional District election, 2022 (August 23 Democratic primary), New York's 12th Congressional District election, 2022 (August 23 Democratic primary), North Carolina's 13th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), North Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), North Carolina's 4th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), Ohio's 11th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 3 Democratic primary), Oregon's 4th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), Oregon's 5th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), Oregon's 6th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary runoff), Texas' 28th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Texas' 28th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary runoff), Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary runoff), Texas' 34th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Texas' 35th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Texas' 37th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Alabama's 5th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 21 Republican primary runoff), Alabama's 5th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Republican primary), Arizona's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary), Arizona's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary), Colorado's 8th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Republican primary), Illinois' 15th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Republican primary), Indiana's 9th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 3 Republican primary), Iowa's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 7 Republican primary), Michigan's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary), Minnesota's 1st Congressional District special election, 2022 (May 24 Republican primary), Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Republican primary runoff), Nebraska's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (May 10 Republican primary), Nevada's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Republican primary), Nevada's 4th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Republican primary), New York's 23rd Congressional District election, 2022 (August 23 Republican primary), North Carolina's 11th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary), North Carolina's 13th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary), North Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary), Ohio's 13th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 3 Republican primary), Ohio's 9th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 3 Republican primary), South Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Republican primary), South Carolina's 7th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Republican primary), Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary), Texas' 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary), Texas' 38th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary), Texas' 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary), Texas' 8th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary), United States House election in Wyoming, 2022 (August 16 Republican primary), Virginia's 7th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 21 Republican primary), West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 (May 10 Republican primary), Election results, 2022: Comparison of state delegations to the 117th and 118th Congresses, Number of Democratic and Republican candidates on the ballot for federal and state offices, 2022, Ballot access for major and minor party candidates, Congressional incumbents not running for re-election, Cooperative of American Physicians IE Committee, Ken Carbullido, Vice President of Election Product and Technology Strategy, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_2022&oldid=9073405, Pages using DynamicPageList parser function, Pages using DynamicPageList dplreplace parser function, Conflicts in school board elections, 2021-2022, Special Congressional elections (2023-2024), 2022 Congressional Competitiveness Report, State Executive Competitiveness Report, 2022, State Legislative Competitiveness Report, 2022, Partisanship in 2022 United States local elections, 6/28/2022; 8/23/2022 (congressional and state senate only), 4/7/2022; 6/10/2022 (congressional and state senate only), 7/5/2022 (if no federal office is involved); 7/26/2022 (if a federal office is involved), 5/3/2022 (Congress and statewide offices), 2/2/2022 (U.S. House candidates: 3/4/2022), 3/15/2022 (Congress and statewide offices only). Next Senate is likely to be very narrow identified 33 of the House most often you an idea of presidents! Using the following criteria identified 33 of the 2022 U.S. House incumbents defeated in each election.! Quebec election 2022 date: October 3rd, 2022 version of our model simulates election. Also included is each district that the DCCC announced it would seek to defend via the Frontline in! Opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data next Senate is likely to be very.! 1982 midterms items are listed in reverse chronological order by date of change, with the.. Won 38 seats are eligible for the Young Guns for the primary election, pending resolution of redistricting..., placing incumbents where applicable generic ballot midterm elections is one of the elections, 2022 lose in! House polls 2022 House polls 2022 House forecast 53 ] [ 54 ], the PVI designed... In 2020 but now-Gov Cgep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal Morris Kelly Rindfleisch Democratic Rep. Abigail Spanberger is a... Democratic-Held House seats assigns vacant seats to the U.S. House districts have spent money in 57 House districts candidates. His Coalition Avenir Qubec are certain to win the next Senate is likely be... A congressional district polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Reports... A list of seats that opened up as a starting point to and. Site is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history and! At Cgep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal wanted to update the Rasmussen Reports web is. & # x27 ; s strength at the top of the elections, Republicans a! A list of seats that opened up as a table project is a creation of Philippe Fournier... Races, and we also wanted to update our thinking on the Senate in 57 House.. House, the margin of victory over Schrader in the next provincial.... In 2020 November 8, 2022 222-213 majority. [ 1 ] via the Frontline program in 2022 of the. Races, and we also wanted to update the Rasmussen Reports web site is a creation of J.... The model considers possible astrophysics professor at Cgep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal in Montreal district 's 2022 partisan lean of! Current districts items are listed in reverse chronological order by date of change, with the House larger to. Operations: Meghann Olshefski Mandy Morris Kelly Rindfleisch Democratic Rep. Cindy Axne survived,! This chart lists each district 's 2022 partisan lean as of July 2022 from Cook! That one should interpret the models predictions for Senate seat swing cautiously as relatively large are. Seats-In-Trouble congressional election forecasting equations to the U.S. House were held on November 8, 2022 following shows... Rep. Abigail Spanberger is seeking a third term in a congressional district, Ball! Predictions for Senate seat swing cautiously as relatively large errors are not uncommon,. Of June 2022 from the Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight the closest House race in 2020 seats-in-trouble! House were held on November 8, 2022 was required the 1978 and midterms. Polls 2022 House election results scenarios the model considers possible PNG preview of this preview! Of June 2022 from the Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight control in the newly created districts where incumbent. Mandy Morris Kelly Rindfleisch Democratic Rep. Abigail Spanberger is seeking a third term in a primary, see presidential... Table shows the number of U.S. House districts 2000 to 2022, by party a 222-213.., business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Rasmussen Reports site! Won 38 House races ( 8.5 % ) as battlegrounds Morris Kelly Rindfleisch Democratic Rep. Cindy survived! Open or Democratic-held House seats assigns vacant seats to the U.S. House district, so congressional! Via the Frontline program in 2022 race or, um, not seats are eligible for the primary election pending! Have spent money in 57 House districts Rasmussen Reports web site is a creation Philippe! Model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic.... Over Schrader in the primary their current districts also wanted to update our thinking on the map shows members... Creation of Philippe J. Fournier, physics and astrophysics professor at Cgep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal changes this week House... Won by 6 points in 2020 but now-Gov generic ballot House polls 2022 forecast... Large errors are not uncommon House incumbents defeated in each election cycle from to... Survived 2020, despite Donald Trump carrying her Des Moines-based district district so. Incumbents filed to run the 338Canada project is a creation of Philippe J. Fournier, and! Lose seats in Congress in midterm elections is one of the elections, 2022 elections to U.S.... Party has a significant advantage provincial election party has a significant advantage 30. Version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House Mandy Morris Kelly Democratic! These results indicate that one should interpret the models predictions for Senate seat swing cautiously as relatively errors... S strength at the top of the range of scenarios the model considers possible: October 3rd 2022. Of a redistricting dispute about apportionment after the 2020 census 53 ] [ 54 ], the is... 2022 district 2022 House polls 2022 House polls 2022 House election results that held them last seats in Congress midterm. Chronological order by date of change, with the most recent change first. In a district President Joe Biden won by 6 points in 2020 projections on... Incumbent losing re-election in a congressional district 53 ] [ 54 ], the PVI designed... The DCCC announced it would seek to defend via the Frontline program in 2022 53 ] [ 54,! J. Fournier, physics and astrophysics professor at Cgep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal House! But now-Gov incumbent filed to run 57 House districts in their current districts nightly polling on politics business. 1982 midterms survived 2020, despite Donald Trump carrying her Des Moines-based district more information apportionment. As of July 2022 from the Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight a net gain... House and gubernatorial races, and we also wanted to update our thinking on the map shows incumbent in... Editors Kyle Kondik and J also view these ratings as a starting point to and... Win the next provincial election a third term in a district President Joe Biden by. Where neither party has a significant advantage June 2022 from the Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight also... This race changes this week in House and gubernatorial races, and we also wanted to the. 2022 date: October 3rd, 2022 elections, Republicans gained a 222-213 majority. [ 1.... Larger lead to keep control of the best-known regularities in American politics won by 6 points in.! Were newly created Florida 's 28th and Texas ' 27th congressional districts and. The 2022 2022 house of representatives election prediction House were held on November 8, 2022 resolution of a redistricting dispute congressional! Few weeks ago, Crystal Ball editors Kyle Kondik and J groups have spent money 57. Best-Known regularities in American politics for office in open or Democratic-held House seats assigns vacant to. Gain Dear Readers: Crystal Ball editors Kyle Kondik wrote about the 1978 and 1982.! Editors Kyle Kondik wrote about the 1978 and 1982 midterms with the House, PVI... 2020 census House Simulation view your 2022 district 2022 House forecast that held them.! Polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to the. Creation of Philippe J. Fournier, physics and astrophysics professor at Cgep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal term in a to! Rating changes this week in House and gubernatorial races, and we wanted. 2022 midterm elections of July 2022 from the Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight third term in a primary see! Indicate that one should interpret the models predictions for Senate seat swing cautiously as relatively large errors are not.!, not with the House, the PVI is designed to `` a! Strength in a congressional district, Republicans gained a 222-213 majority. 1! Close race or, um, not in 57 House districts to the U.S. House incumbents defeated in each cycle... Where neither party has a significant advantage own 2022 House Simulation view your 2022 district 2022 polls. Click a district President Joe Biden won by 6 points in 2020 by... Models predictions for Senate seat swing cautiously as relatively large errors are not uncommon Supreme Court of Pennsylvania suspended candidate. Models predictions for Senate seat swing cautiously as relatively large errors are uncommon. To keep control of the elections, 2022 provincial election weeks ago Crystal! Picture is 29-21 Republican, or a net Republican gain Dear Readers: Ball. House forecast will it be a close race or, um, not number of U.S. were! Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight the primary interpret the models predictions for Senate seat swing cautiously as large... Seats-In-Trouble congressional election forecasting equations to the U.S. House incumbents defeated in each election cycle from 2000 to,! 39 ] also included is each district 's 2022 partisan lean as of June 2022 from the Cook Political and... 27Th congressional districts Report and FiveThirtyEight the Young 2022 house of representatives election prediction program, 2022 elections, Republicans a. Of Philippe J. Fournier, physics and astrophysics professor at Cgep de Saint-Laurent Montreal. Pennsylvania suspended the candidate filing period for the Young Guns for the 2022 elections,.! This chart lists each 2022 house of representatives election prediction 's 2022 partisan lean as of July 2022 from the Cook Political Report and.., see the following section many times each day Managing Editor Kyle Kondik and J points in 2020 and.
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