Moses also said in Exodus and Leviticus that crops should be planted and harvested for six years, but in the seventh year the land should rest and enjoy a Sabbath in which no crops would be planted. Since he used every major upturn and downturn in the stock market, bond market, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the analysis, his conclusions were that there was very little statistical significance of the Shemitah Effect on these indicators. Both dates were the eve of Rosh Hashanah on the final day of a shmita year. The implication is that just as there is a rhythm to the work week whereby activity needs to be punctuated by periods of rest, so too, a parallel rhythm pertains over a seven year cycle; we need periods of rest and renewal. The beginning of American to rise to world power. Will the stock market crash at the end of this Jewish year? 1979-1980 Shmita Year - U.S. and global recession. In Leviticus we are given more information about this principle: The Lord then spoke to Moses at Mount Sinai, saying. This part of the Shemitah law related to loans made only by and between the people of Israel. People are in the middle of a great crisis that continues to increase, but theyre still fat and happy. idiot in office doubling down on freaking climate change, he will call for a National Climate Change emergency this fall right before elections then they can continue the narrative and cheat again to destroy our Nation. modern history. As can be seen, there are some Shemitah years that actually do correlate well to downturns in the stock market; particularly, these are represented by the years 1902-1903, 1909-1910, 1916-1917, 1930-1931, 1937-1938 (at its start), 1965-1966, 1972-1973, 1986-1987, 2000-2001, 2007-2008, and 2014-2015. The fact that the world is in a turmoil at the moment isnt exactly breaking news. Fruit that grew on trees could be picked by anyone and eaten. Well, if we compare the Shemitah years with the financial markets we can see a very interesting correlation. You shall thus consecrate the fiftieth year and proclaim a release through the land to all its inhabitants. OK, we get poorer, but we dont really notice. Note: All returns assume a change in price and include dividend payouts (not reinvested). The length of these cycles is reliably between six and nine years. Sukkot, Shmita and a stock market crash? Numerologists will be disappointed to learn that longer-term time cycles dont line up for a prosperous 2022 for stocks. So even though a Shemitah year would end in the fall on Elul 29, the next harvest would not occur until at least 7-8 months later. You shall then sound a rams horn abroad on the tenth day of the seventh month; on the day of atonement you shall sound a horn all through your land. The easiest thing is to follow the crowd or ask a financial advisor. What about the Shemitah? To do so, you just have to make better decisions than most others. As Israel implodes, does nobody in Netanyahus Likud have the guts to defy him? The Shemitah, however, would help smooth out economic ups and downs so that they would simply never occur catastrophically. The cycle of seven It shall be a jubilee for you, and each of you shall return to his own property, and each of you shall return to his family. The prideful building of the Tower of Babel brought judgment. Add to the fact that this pandemic is not going out quietly, we will eventually find out that stock markets do not like uncertainty. If this force really exists, it might actually impact the valuation of stock markets, investments, and currencies on a recurring basis. warning from God to come back to Him but the leaders of America quoted Isaiah 9:10 in defiance. An investor should not assume that any strategy used by Reppond Investments, Inc. will directly correspond to any such comparative index.Different types of investments and/or investment strategies involve varying levels of risk. and yearsthe cycle of seven weeks (7x7) points to the 50th day - Pentecost. 1916-1917 Shmita Year - 40% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. A loss for the world: Israeli-American Elan Ganeles, killed by terrorists, buried. I was on a tour of Jewish America to promote a just-published book on shmita. You can do anything you decide to do. You are to do the same with your vineyard and your olive grove.. Please invest accordingly. We will also not be able to get rich off of playing the Shemitah cycles to our advantage. Israel has two calendars; religious and civil. 1930-1931 Shmita Year - 86% U.S stock market value wiped out in the worst financial crisis in modern history. Tusen takk til dere som hjalp oss!Dere kom som sendt fra himmelen! On August 29, 1966, the S&P 500 dropped to 74.53, down -20.76% from its prior high 6 months previously on February 9, 1966. SHEMITAH CYCLE - YouTube 0:00 / 14:10 STOCK MARKET COLLAPSE END OF 2022!? Therefore, the poor would never be poor forever and the rich would not continually devour the property of the poor. "Who say in pride and arrogance of heart: The bricks have fallen down, but we will rebuild with Will God show us his mercy or his wrath for being an anti God nation. Another important aspect of the Shemitah actually added to the effect of an agriculture-related downturn. This law ensured that Hebrew slaves would not be held as slaves forever, regardless of the debt they owed or the situation they found themselves in. However, the historical hit rates arent high enough to justify running for cover if you have no other fundamental stock-market worries. The stock market follows and amplifies the cycle. Bayer AG shares fell on Tuesday after the company said fourth-quarter net profit fell, noting that it had a higher number of lawsuits related to . 1901-1902 Year of Shemitah - Stock market drops almost 50%. The Shemitah is thus a radical concept that has no parallel among the nations and economic systems of the world. Required fields are marked *. All during this one Shmita year. According to the statutes of this law, the 50th year would include another year like the Shemitah year of not planting or harvesting of crops; therefore the seventh Shemitah year of rest for the land was followed by another Jubilee year of rest, making two consecutive years of no planting and no harvesting every 49 years. Please try again or choose an option below. he does point out one remarkable fact: the final day of both of the last two shmita years saw two of the three largest falls in history (measured in points not in per cent) of the US stock market. However, the nations of the world and their economic systems dont follow God or his Laws; thus, there are many more negative effects on the global economic system than just the Shemitah. Written by John Ballard for The Motley Fool ->. This time span is due to the fact that the final harvest of the seven-year cycle would occur by spring and early summer of the sixth year and the next harvest wouldnt occur until at least half-way through the eighth year (or year one of the next Shemitah cycle). In Leviticus, Moses said that the Year of Jubilee should be observed after every seven sets of seven-year Shemitah cycles. Unfortunately, markets have frequently taken this suggestion quite literally! What happened. Introducing shmita, the Torah suggests that there is a seven year cycle of economic activity: Six years shall you sow your land and gather in your yield; but in the seventh year you shall let it rest and lie fallow. (Exodus 23) Then immediately it repeats the idea of Shabbat: Six days you shall do you work, but on the seventh day you shall cease from labor. THE STOCK MARKET WILL CRASH! Your email address will not be published. Masterclass Teach The Art Of Magic Penn e Teller. Reppond Investments, Inc. reserves the right to trade different ETFs or mutual funds within a strategy than those reflected in the graphic shown. In Israel, farms must go uncultivated. The last time we have seen a Shemitah year was in the year 2014-2015. I dont know. The Jews observe this weekly Sabbath starting at sundown on Friday evening through sundown on Saturday. 1916-1917 Year of Shemitah (*Super Shemitah Year) - Stock market drops 40%. Eight months later, the S&P 500 loss through August has exceeded 10% for only the twelfth time since 1926. Perhaps 2022, the next Shmita year, will have some upheavals. The Shemitah Effect also affected any person associated with agriculture, including people who made their living from working on farms, selling food, or providing equipment or services to farmers. name for ourselves", "Who say in pride and arrogance of heart: The bricks have fallen down, but we will rebuild with In the year 2000-2001 we have seen the DOTCOM bubble pop. For instance, in the following figure, the Dow Jones Industrial Average stretching from the year 1900 to the autumn of 2015 is mapped with the Shemitah years highlighted as transparent yellow bars on top of the curve. This means, unfortunately that slumps and depressions are exaggerated in degree. Thank you so much to you who helped us!You came as sent from heaven! German, Austro-Hungarian, Russian and Ottoman Empires collapsed. hewn stones." He argues that shmita is the key to understanding the mysterious geo-political, economic and financial gyrations of our time. The biggest Wall Street crash of 1987 happened during Shemitah and so did the bond market carnage of 1994. As the Lord promised in Leviticus 25:20-22 (quoted previously), the sixth year before a Jubilee would provide enough food to supply the people for a full 3 years; therefore God anticipated the need for an increased food supply during the longer Shemitah/Jubilee cycle. This is like concluding that everyone who breaths, dies; thus, breathing is the cause of death. 1944-1945 Shmita Year - End of German Reich and Britain's hold on territories. Ben Reppond(406) 871-3321ben@reppondinvestments.comLearn how we manage money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m4IdPxtjBYo\u0026t=3220sInstagram: @benreppondBloomberg https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3hA3IkauON4CNBC Joe Kernanhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BlmLyfx5tcECNBC Scott Wapnerhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nb1cGFjXXtYJonathan CahnThe Mystery of the Shemitahhttps://www.amazon.com/Mystery-Shemitah-Updated-000-Year-Old-Future/dp/1629994707Produced By http://www.thepyrostudios.comDISCLOSURESThis presentation is for informational purposes only and is not an offer of or solicitation of advisory services. THIS IS JUST ENTERTAINMENT!This information is what was found publicly on the internet. Were now less than a month away from the end of the current shemita as well as the current yubilee-year. This year is a different story. In addition, if there happens to occur a super-Shemitah with a Jubilee year following the Shemitah year, then the economic effects would continue for at least 2 years with again some effects lingering afterward. The Largest Percent Changes in the Dow Jones industrial Average, RankDateCloseNet Change% ChangeShemitah Years or Wake11987-10-191738.74508.0022.6121929-10-28260.6438.3312.82 31899-12-1858.277.9411.99 41929-10-29230.0730.5711.73 51929-11-06232.1325.559.92 61932-08-1263.115.798.40 71907-03-1476.236.898.29 81987-10-261793.93156.838.0492008-10-158577.91733.087.87101933-07-2188.717.557.84 111937-10-18125.7310.577.75122008-12-018149.09679.957.70132008-10-098579.19678.917.33141917-02-0188.526.917.24151997-10-277161.15554.267.18 161932-10-0566.075.097.15 172001-09-178920.7684.817.13181931-09-24107.798.207.07191933-07-2096.267.327.07 202008-09-2910365.45777.686.98. 3 If we continue the upwards trend entering 2021, approaching September we should pay attention. So even though a Shemitah year would end in the fall on Elul 29, the next harvest would not occur until at least 7-8 months later. You may wonder how Israel could ever eliminate a year of planting and not run out of food, because the effect of the Shemitah would actually result in at least a 1.5-year interim between harvests. In addition, although the Shemitah of 1930-1931 occurred right in the middle of the long stock market slide at the beginning of the Great Depression, the Shemitah year did not occur during the Dows initial severe collapse during the fall of 1929. I call this proposition the Shemitah Effect, after a Biblical law and the Jewish name that is used to describe it. As originally appeared in The Jerusalem Post on September 16, 2021.The most difficult thing is the decision to act, the rest is merely tenacity. The observance of the Shemitah obviously took faith in God to provide enough food during the previous six years to survive the seventh year with no additional planting. Two of the three calendar patterns are bullish, including the one in which we put the most stock (pun intended): The Presidential Election Cycle. People simply cannot be wrong for long. The bond market bubble has popped, and forward-looking Treasury returns are no longer a disaster. To research the Shemitah Effect, we need only to look at the historical economic trends that have occurred over the last century or so and see if major downturns correlate to Shemitah years. What if this expectation could allow decision makers to gently let the air out of the bubble before it pops? Now lets have a look at the more recent stock market crashes we have seen. While it had moved moderately higher since the start of the new year, shares of Nikola ( NKLA 1.35%) are driving lower, resulting in the stock landing in the red so far for 2023 . What is generally not known, however, is that this same principle of a weekly Sabbath observance was also extended to time frames involving years, not just days. The beginning of American to rise to world power. 2023 The Times of Israel , All Rights Reserved. The End of a Shemitah Year - September 25 2022 8,015 views Sep 20, 2022 Like Dislike Share Save Reppond Investments, Inc. 10.3K subscribers Feel free to contact me if you have questions or. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Economies are periodic they go through upswings of growth, investment and expansion, followed by episodes of contraction and depression. A decade ago, Mike Maloney made an effort to explain it all through a series called Hidden Secrets of Money. This important Jewish holiday occurs in the fall, usually in Late September or early October (it occurred on Sept. 23 in 2015), and it serves to usher in the start of the New Year of Jubilee. Russian and Ottoman Empires collapsed. Table 1. It turns out that its lacking entire categories pertinent to stock market action: Weve reminded dejected readers throughout 2022 that this year was statistically cursed from the onset. America is not prominent in Bible prophecy and therefore must fall from her position as the world's Superpower. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. They are intended to provide general comparative information to help an individual client or prospective client in deciding whether the performance of Reppond Investments, Inc.s strategies meet, or continue to meet, his/her investment objective(s). It was easier for Israel to simply overlook this law rather than to risk not having enough food for over a year at a time or risk losing money by having to forgive debt or give back land. This type of downward pressure on the global financial system may also cause the rise and fall of empires and countries, as economic upheavals often cause major political power shifts. Of course the stock exchanges are experiencing problems, but most of the newly printed money end up in the exchanges, thus preventing the logical drop. Shmita years are behind the rise and fall of America. Well, that was my two satoshis on the upcoming shemita.. For meg om meg, se https://dagruneflaaten.com/. Though they tried to run from it, the Shemitah Effect eventually caught up to them and caused 70 years of banishment from their land! And therefore must fall from her position as the current yubilee-year from God to come back to him but leaders... 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U.S stock market value wiped out the next time i comment you have no other fundamental stock-market worries to! People are in the Year of Jubilee should be observed after every seven sets of seven-year Shemitah cycles to advantage., se https: //dagruneflaaten.com/ Reich and Britain 's hold on territories God to come back to him but leaders! Hidden Secrets of Money effect of an agriculture-related downturn be poor forever the. During Shemitah and so did the bond market bubble has popped, and in!! this information is what was found publicly on the final day of a great crisis that to!